Investment Banking: Restructuring Advisory

We noted herehere and here that the investment banks have generally been reporting solid earnings of late. Restructuring advisory revenues, as far as we can tell from those that line-item the service, have been solid for the first three quarters of '17. Given the relative dearth of deal flow, however, the juicy debtor mandates are few and far between and seem to be increasingly allocated to the small subset of investment banking firms we noted in the links above. Considering this, it's interesting that a boutique investment bank with smaller market share like Millstein & Co. might look to diversify its business. This week, we noted an SEC filing for Mill Point Capital, a debut private equity fund headed up by Millstein & Co. Founder and CEO, Jim Millstein. The new fund will seek to raise $375mm to invest in control and turnaround deals in North American business services and industrial companies. 

Recruiting & Business Development (Long Innovation)

Think Outside the Box, We Say

We can't seem to get over our own obsession with private equity/biglaw/bank recruiting; we've written about it herehere and here. Why? Mostly because its stupid-absurd which, in turn, makes it funny. But after reading about the rise of corporate pop-ups here, we came up with what we think is a genius way to jumpstart business development and recruiting efforts in one fell swoop: a biglaw pop-up store. Stick with us here: picture a mall with next-wave bankruptcy candidates like Charming CharlieNine WestBon-Ton Stores ($BONT), Sears Corporation ($SHLD), Destination XL ($DXLG), Destination Maternity ($DEST), etc. (collectively, the "Effed Retailers"). Picture, also, within close proximity, a corporate pop-up for, say, Law Firm AB&C LLP featuring all kinds of fancy screens rolling clips of how bada$$ and extreme its attorneys are while arguing (or singing) in court on behalf of retail clients. Imagine the product placement opportunities for the likes of Payless Shoesourcerue21 Inc.Gymboree, and True Religion (the "Successfully Reorganized Retailers"). "Stop by the AB&C LLP popup for awesome limited edition kicks and 'lit' specialty women's apparel," they'll say. In the opposite corner there can be a skull-and-crossbones banner hovering over an ominous display of retail carnage, e.g., hhgregg, Gander Mountain, etc. - all of which were, conveniently, of course, represented by other firms. Like, literally, a pair of running kicks should be on fire and death metal ought to be playing on the loud speaker. Of course, the managers of the Effed Retailers will see this and, in a panicked frenzy, start dialing corporate HQ asking, "Who is our Restructuring counsel?" Oh, really? Fire them. We need to hire AB&C LLP stat!" Meanwhile the Successfully Reorganized Retailers will generate some revenue from the product placement which, of course, they'll want to pay back when they inevitably are no longer "successful" and need to file for Chapter 22. Cha Ching! Another retention. Don't forget the REITs: Simon Property Group ($SPG) can continue to boast about 97% occupancy rates thanks to AB&C LLP filing space. And, finally, think of the branding potential. Law students and future law students will walk by and say "Holy crap. I want to go work at THAT law firm, AB&C LLP." Massive cross-benefit for recruiting. Whichever of your firms deploys this strategy first can send royalties via Paypal to petition@petition11.com.

More Investment Bankers Killing It. For Now.

Until Artificial Intelligence Replaces Them, That Is

We previously reported on how some of our favorite restructuring bankers were faring after the recent deluge of earnings reports.Lazard Ltd. ($LAZ) reported $53mm in revenue for Q3 '17, a 3% YOY increase. For the first nine months of '17, operating revenue was $229mm, a 38% YOY increase. The company does some bragging here (page 11). Still, some are of the few that thousands of i-banking jobs will fall to artificial intelligence by 2025.

Masters of the Universe (Long Certain Investment Bankers)

Houlihan Lokey Delivered "Closed Transactions"

Houlihan Lokey Inc.($HLI) reported numbers this past week and knocked it out of the park showing solid revenue and net income growth. In its Financial Restructuring segment, revenue grew 11% to $33mm in Q2 '17 compared to Q2 '16, led by a +2 increase in "closed transactions." Segment profit, however, was down $6mm. Wait, what? What does that mean? "Segment profitability decreased as a result of an increase in employee compensation and benefits expenses as a percentage of revenues...." In summary, homeboys got PAID. Drinks on them this bonus season. 

Chart: Masters of the Universe 2.0 (Evercore/Moelis/Houlihan)

Evercore Partners & Moelis & Co. Show Increased Advisory Revenue

Like Houlihan LokeyMoelis & Company Inc. ($MC) also reported earnings this week and revenues were up 13% in Q3 '17 relative to Q3 '16. Unfortunately, the bank doesn't break out restructuring revenue but the company noted that it expects restructuring activity to be"flattish." Evercore Partners ($EVR) also reported record revenue and a strong earnings rise; it didn't parse out restructuring revenue. Advisory fees, generally, however, seem on the rise. Read: it's a good time to be banker. That is, unless you're a junior banker and the group is led by a 45 year-old with no plans to retire for another 35 years. Or you work at Rothschild & Co., and, if rumors are to be believed, the restructuring group is on the verge of a massive splintering. You heard it here first. 

Source: Thomson Reuters, Moelis & Co. 

Source: Thomson Reuters, Moelis & Co. 

Distressed Boutique Investment Banks (We Hope You Already Shorted This One)

So, you don't see this everyday: Greenhill & Co., a boutique investment bank that dabbles in restructuring advisory work, announced a "self-help" transaction - powered by a new $300mm Goldman Sachs credit facility and $10mm from each of Chairman Bob Greenhill and CEO Scott Bok. The (quasi go-private?) transaction will include paying off debt, a tender for shares, and a substantial reduction-cum-elimination of the firm's elevated dividend. Our first question is whether shareholders get to waterboard Mr. Bok as part of the deal? Now that the company is levered, by some measures, to the tune of approx 9x, what kind of fee do we think its restructuring team will get for the (inevitable) restructuring of the new debt? 

Notable (Cov Lite Loans, Delaware Bankruptcy Filings & More)

More = Busted Tech, Investment Banks & REITS

Biglaw. Summer Associate satisfaction surveys (firewall). In case anyone actually gives a sh*t.

Busted Tech. A view that recent IPOs will never make money. Meanwhile, Toys R Us is a harbinger of, you guessed it, BUSTED TECH. 

Canadian Retail. Also looking increasingly ugly.

Cov Lite. We're old enough to remember when people said it was dead and would never come back. Memories are short AF

DelawareThis article about retail bankruptcy cases avoiding filing in Delaware misses the mark widely. Like, way outside. Any DE practitioners want to opine - without attribution - on this?? Email us here.

Investment BankingJefferies can't trade for sh*t but advisory fees baby. Given these advisory fees, it looks like UBS wants to get back into the restructuring advisory game. Again. For, like, the 283th time. 

J.CrewInvestors are pissed.

New YorkIs it in danger of becoming Detroit?

Puerto Rico. The hits just keep on coming. Sad, really.

REIT InvestmentsThis is an interesting piece about alternative investments by REITS. Simon Property Group ($SPG) looks particularly active.

Retail (Taxes). When you're industry is in secular decline, fight for scraps. Here, tax changes.