GoPro is in Trouble

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Long the "Hardware is Hard" Narrative

GoPro Inc. ($GPRO) announced extreme guidance this past week. Extremely bad guidance. The hardware-manufacturer-wouldbe-software-developer-wannabe-content-provider-aspiring-drone-player lowered guidance for revenue and gross margin and offsetting measures like job cuts, exec compensation cuts, and discontinued products (discounted drones anyone?). Disputed reports abound that JPMorgan has been hired by Nick Woodman to shop the company. Doesn’t sound like he’ll be doing many guest Shark Tank appearances anytime soon. The company has a $300mm credit facility and $150mm in converts. With negative operating cash flow and and increasingly bad trends, Woodman may soon be fielding pitches from restructuring bankers. 

But at least he's still in business. Luma, a home WiFi system maker reportedly had to effectively sell for parts to First Alert. Investors included Andreesen Horowitz, Accel Partners and, get this, Amazon Alexa Fund. Similarly, Eero, the mesh Wi-Fi router startup, laid off 20% of its workforce. It has raised $90mm in VC. Yes, hardware is hard.

But not all tech is "busted" and not ALL hardware is "hard." Apparently 16% of Americans now own a smart speaker. In case you weren't convinced that "voice" may be a VERY big piece of the future. As we noted around this time last year on PETITION, mass adoption of voice has the potential to disintermediate brands and cause more retail distress. 

Notable (Sears Canada, Joyus, Community Health Systems & More)

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Busted Tech. Joyus, an online shopping platform that relied heavily on video, shuttered this past week announcing in a leaked memo that it would undertake an assignment for the benefit of creditors. The company had no venture debt but did raise nearly $70mm from Accel Partners, a Time Warner venture arm and investors affiliated with a Walmart ($WMT) venture affiliate.

Healthcare. Community Health Systems ($CYH) announced its preliminary Q2 financial and operating results and they weren't very pretty. Net operating revenues were down nearly $400mm relative to the same quarter last year. Categorical losses, however, were generally lesser than the year before. The stock - and that of spun-off Quorum Health Corporation ($QHC) took a dive after the report. Meanwhile, smaller ($1-10mm) healthcare providers continue to file for bankruptcy.

Noble Group. With $3b of debt and various other issues, lots of folks are souring on the name.

Och-Ziff. We've heard of camp counselor bonuses from satisfied parents but this $280mm package takes things to a whole new level. Also, long luck. 

Pure Unsupported Fantasy. Otherwise known as Sycamore Partners' claim that Dollar Tree Stores submarined the Family Dollar merger. So Dollar Tree says, anyway.

Sears Canada. And we thought we were aggressive with some of our commentary:nice headline. Meanwhile, it appears that Eddie Lampert and Bruce Berkowitz couldn't figure out a way to get along in the sandbox, calling off their joint effort to bail out the embattled Canadian retailer. Now ESL Partners LP may sell some of its stake to take a tax loss. Berkowitz's Fairholme Capital Management LLC increased its holdings not too long ago.

Shopping Holidays. Get ready because it is undoubtedly coming. Fresh on the heels of Amazon Prime Day, other retailers are getting jiggy with it (looking at you Walmart and JD.com) and intend to start their own shopping holidays. Looks like the big retailers want to make Labor Day even more pointless.