Advertising & Media (Desperate Times Call for Desperate Measures)

It's one thing to see a flying car whisk by a Coca-Cola ($KO) sign in Blade Runner 2049. Or Vin Diesel crush a Corona ($BUD) before crushing a skull in Fast and the Furious 2049 (how many of these are there?). Or Mark Wahlberg mention a motorcycle he likes in Big Daddy. It's pretty obvious that those are placement ads. But its an entirely different story when a large corporate partner like Proctor & Gamble ($PG) purchases a plot line and dialogue. That isn't so obvious. But so it is. This week, Variety reported that P&G has done precisely that in a "unique advertising pact" with American Broadcasting Company ($DIS). The network will create an episode of "black-ish" that will - as a central plot device - discuss a P&G-produced short film and its implications on race merely because that's "an issue that the advertiser is trying to burnish." Well, ok, then.

Cord-cutting is getting aggressive and we get that Disney needs to act in-kind to ensure revenues. ESPN is under siege, Netflix ($NFLX) has a head start on stand-alone streaming, and even Star Wars toys have underperformed. But how this is handled will be a bellweather of things to come.

For instance, Instagram influencers are under strict guidance from the FTC on how to handle sponsored posts. Failure to comply has gotten various influencers - the Kardashian's being one notable example - in hot waterRemember the Fyre Festival? Riiiiiiight. To what degree are P&G and DIS required to alert viewers that the dialogue they are listening to is paid for? To the extent there is an alert, should it be noted at the bottom of the screen at the time of the dialogue (makes sense) or noted in the end credits (doesn't make sense). This may very well be another instance where regulation has to play catch-up to innovation.

Meanwhile, there's been a notable rise in corporate venture capital (CVC) arms over the last several years. What we haven't noticed, however, is the blatant weaponization of the CVC's distribution channels to help scale product. Yet. We wouldn't be surprised to see a rise in (shameless) native plugs of new apps or hardware in future mainstream broadcast content. And that - on the basis of scale opportunity alone - could be a real competitive advantage for corporate-backed startups relative to venture-backed startups. Query, however, what that would do to the viewing experience. Netflix ($NFLX) and HBO ($TWX) don't serve ads for a reason. Yet. We'd be shocked, though, if it doesn't come eventually (our money is on NFLX first). 

P.S. Elsewhere in advertising, Amazon is coming ($AMZN) and coming fast with ad revenue growing faster than Google ($GOOGL) and Facebook ($FB). 

Short the Impulse Buy?

People Are Worried About Coca-Cola & Pepsi

In our interview with an Amazon ($AMZN) exec back in December, we questioned the effect that Amazon Go would have on certain sales - including, notably, impulse buys at checkout. Now, it seems, others are catching on. And they're worried about the extent e-commerce growth of food delivery will impact The Coca-Cola Co. ($KO) and PepsiCo, Inc. ($PEP). We're pretty sure Boxed.com sells Coke. In big cities, we'd argue that e-commerce may actually make it MORE likely that people buy soda as they'd no longer have to schlep it home from Trader Joe's.